Thomas R. Palfrey
Flintridge Foundation Professor of Economics and Political Science
Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

California Institute of Technology


E-mail: trp at
Office: 301A Baxter Hall
Phone: (626) 395-4088
Fax: (626) 395-8967



Some recent publications


Quantal Response Equilibrium: A Stochastic Theory of Games (with J. Goeree and C. Holt) Princeton University Press: Princeton, NJ, 2016.


Games Played by Teams of Players (with Jeongbin Kim and Jeffrey Zeidel), 2022. AEJ: Microeconomics.


Trading Votes for Votes: A Laboratory Study (with A. Casella), 2021, Games and Economic Behavior, 125 (January):1-26.


The Political Economy of Public Debt: A Laboratory Study (with M. Battaglini and S. Nunnari), Journal of the European Economic Association, August 2020, 18(4): 1969–2012.


Ignorance and Bias in Collective Decisions (with A. Elbittar, A. Gomberg, and C. Martinelli) Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2020, 174(June): 332-359.


The Effects of Income Mobility and Tax Persistence on Income Redistribution and Inequality (with M. Agranov), 2020, European Economic Review, 123:April Online Appendix.


Communication Among Voters Benefits the Majority Party (with K. Pogorelskiiy), Economic Journal, February 2019, 129(618): 961-990.


Candidate Entry and Political Polarization: An Experimental Study  (with J. Grosser), American Political Science Review, February 2019, 113(1): 209-225.


Trading Votes for Votes: A Dynamic Theory (with A. Casella), Econometrica, March 2019, 87(2): 631-652.


Communication and Information in Games of Collective Decision (with C. Martinelli), 2019, in Handbook of Experimental Game Theory (M. Capra, R. Croson, M. Rigdon, and T. Rosenblatt eds.) Edward Elgar, forthcoming.


Stochastic Game Theory for the Social Sciences: A Primer on Quantal Response Equilibrium (with J. Goeree and C. Holt), 2019, in Handbook of Experimental Game Theory (M. Capra, R. Croson, M. Rigdon, and T. Rosenblatt eds.) Edward Elgar, forthcoming.


External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery (with A. Merlo) Public Choice, July 2018, 176(1-2): 297-314.


Rank-Dependent Choice Equilibrium (with J. Goeree, C. Holt, P. Louis, and B. Rogers), 2019, in A. Schram and A. Ule eds., The Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Experimental Economics, 252-268.


Recent working papers


Cognitive Hierarchies in Extensive Form Games  (with Po-Hsuan Lin), Social Science Working Paper # 1460, California Institute of Technology, February 2022.


Bilateral Conflict: An Experimental Study of Strategic Effectiveness and Equilibrium  (with Charles A. Holt), Social Science Working Paper # 1459, California Institute of Technology, January 2022.


Prisoners’ Dilemma and Coordination Games Played by Teams of Players (with Jeongbin Kim), March 2022.


Organizing for Collective Action: Olson Revisited (with Marco Battaglini), June 2021.