(2019) Llenos AL and van der Elst NJ (in press) Improving earthquake forecasts during swarms with a duration model, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., doi:

(2018) Hardebeck JL, Llenos AL, Michael AJ, Page MT, van der Elst NJ (2018) Updated California Aftershock Parameters, Seismol. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1785/0220180240

(2018) Page MT and van der Elst NJ (2018) Turing-Style Tests for UCERF3 Synthetic Catalogs, Seismol. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1785/0120170223

(2018) van der Elst NJ and Page MT (2018) Nonparametric aftershock forecasts based on similar sequences in the past, Seismol. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1785/0220170155

(2017) Delorey AA, van der Elst NJ, Johnson PA (2017) Tidal triggering of earthquakes suggests poroelastic behavior on the San Andreas Fault, Earth and Planet. Sci. Lett., doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.12.014

(2017) Field EH, Jordan TH, Page MT, Milner KR, Shaw BE, Dawson TE, Biasi GP, Parsons T, Hardebeck JH, Michael AJ, Weldon II RJ, Powers PM, Johnson JM, Zeng, Y, Felzer KR, van der Elst NJ, Madden C, Arrowsmith R, Werner MJ, Thatcher WR (2017) A synoptic view of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3), Seismol. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1785/0220170045

(2017) van der Elst NJ (2017) Acounting for orphaned aftershocks in the earthquake background rate, Geophys. J. Internat., doi: 10.1093/gji/ggx329

(2017) Field EH, Milner KR, Hardebeck JH, Page MT, van der Elst NJ, Jordan TH, Michael AJ, Shaw BE, Werner MJ (2017) A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3-ETAS) - Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast, Bull. Seism. Soc. Amer., doi: 10.1785/0120160173

(2016) Page MT, van der Elst NJ, Hardebeck JL, Felzer K, Michael AJ (2016) Three ingredients for improved global aftershock forecasts: Tectonic region, time-dependent catalog incompleteness, and intersequence variability, Bull. Seism. Soc. Amer., doi: 10.1785/0120160073

(2016) van der Elst NJ, Delorey AA, Shelly DR, Johnnson PA (2016) Fortnightly modulation of San Andreas tremor and low-frequency earthquakes, Proc. Natl. Academy Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.1524316113

(2016) van der Elst NJ, Page MT, Weiser DA, Goebel THW, Hosseini SM (2016) Induced earthquake magnitudes are as large as (statistically) expected, J. Geophys. Res. doi: 10.1002/2016JB012818

(2015) van der Elst NJ and Shaw BE (2015) Larger aftershocks occur farther away: nonseparability of magnitude and spatial distributions of aftershocks, Geophys. Res. Lett. doi: 10.1002/2015GL064734

(2015) Wang B, Harrington RM, Liu Y, Yu H, Carey A, van der Elst NJ (2015) Isolated cases of remote dynamic triggering in Canada detected using cataloged earthquakes combined with a matched-filter approach, , Geophys. Res. Lett. doi:10.1002/2015GL064377

(2015) van der Elst NJ and Savage HM (2015) Frequency dependence of delayed and instantaneous triggering on laboratory and simulated faults governed by rate-state friction, J. Geophys. Res 120, doi:10.1002/2014JB011611

(2014) Hernandez S, Brodsky EE, and van der Elst NJ (2014) The magnitude distribution of dynamically triggered earthquakes, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 15, doi: 10.1002/2014GC005404

(2014) Brodsky EE and van der Elst NJ (2014) The uses of dynamic earthquake triggering, Annual Reveiew of Earth and Planetary Sciences 42 doi: 10.1146/annurev-earth-060313-054648

(2013) van der Elst NJ, Savage HM, Keranen KM, Abers GA (2013) Enhanced remote earthquake triggering at fluid injection sites in the Midwestern United States, Science 341 (6142), 164-167.

(2013) van der Elst NJ, Brodsky EE, & Lay T (2013) Precursory remote triggering is not evident before great earthquakes, Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer. 103 (2B), 1522-1540.

(2012) van der Elst NJ, Brodsky EE, Le Bas P-Y, & Johnson PA (2012), Auto-acoustic compaction in steady shear flows: experimental evidence for the suppression of shear dilatancy by internal acoustic vibration, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2011JB008897

(2012) Cooke M and van der Elst NJ (2012), Rheologic Testing of wet kaolin reveals frictional and bi-viscous behavior typical of crustal materials, Geophys. Res. Let., 39 L01308, doi:10.1029/2011GL050186.

(2010) van der Elst NJ and Brodsky EE (2010), Connecting near and farfield earthquake triggering to dynamic strain, J. Geophys. Res. doi:10.1029/2009JB006681.

(2008) McLaren M, Hardebeck JL, van der Elst NJ, Unruh JH, Bawden JH & Blair JL (2008), Complex faulting associated with the 22 December 2003 Mw 6.5 San Simeon, California earthquake, aftershocks and postseismic surface deformation, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 98 (4), p. 1659-1680